I was out last night watching the hockey games when it was suggested to me that a mock draft would be a decent idea for the BMOD blog. At first I thought that was way too much effort but given the fact I have nothing but time on my hands for the next few weeks I have decided to give it a shot. The best thing about mock drafts is you’re going to be way off with your picks but look like an expert if a few of your picks beyond the fifth selection come true. Therefore it’s win-win in my opinion. So here it is, the first ever Big Mock of the Day, enjoy.
1) Carolina Panthers select Cam Newton- QB- Auburn
After Cam’s father attempts to sell him off to the highest bidder in the NFL fails (he doesn’t understand the draft concept)
Carolina selects the Aubrun Tiger. I’m not a big fan of this selection but I can understand why the Panthers are likely to make this move.
Carolina has never had a franchise quarterback (don’t tell me Delhome was) and hit rock bottom last year on offense with just 17 touchdowns. The fans are starting to turn on the franchise and they need a flashy player to help get some butts back in the seats. Hence, why
Carolina will draft
Newton whose major goal is to become an ‘entertainer and icon’. I don’t know if that translates into wins and touchdowns but it should make for a few interesting seasons.
Newton undoubtedly has the most potential of any quarterback in this year’s draft and is a freakish athlete with great speed and a strong arm behind his 6’6 250 lb frame. He was a beast with
Auburn last season winning both the Heisman and National Championship (two awards to be stripped from him by 2013). However, he played mostly from the shotgun in a spread offense and only has one season as a starting quarterback under his belt. The real question is if he can play at the NFL level given his lack of experience under centre. Add to this questions about his desire to work hard and study the game once het gets a large signing bonus and you can see why this is a risky pick. I don’t think Newton will go the way of Jamarcus Russell but I would say it’s 50/50 whether he goes the way of Vince Young or Steve McNair (as a football player, I really do like the comparison on the field, they both have similar attributes). If I were
Carolina I would be more inclined to pick AJ Green in order to add another weapon on an already talented offense (on paper). This way you can see what Jimmy Claussen can do in year two. I would follow it up by taking a shot on a quarterback in the third round or trade up to the second (Carolina doesn't have a 2nd round pick) which is a theme I like in this year’s draft.
2) Denver Broncos Select Marcel Darreus – DT- Auburn
Denver had the 31
st ranked run defense and has been terrible in this part of the game for years so it’s no surprise they’ll take Darreus in this spot. Many a fantasy owner have lost their S*#! On this team over the years when their opponent had Ladanian Tomlinson (or any rb for that matter) going up against the Broncos. You basically had to concede over 100 yards and 2 TD’s each week to whoever was running against the Broncos, even if his name was Wally Lundy! Darreus is no Ndamakung Suh but he should be able to instantly move the Broncos up ten spots in the run category with his addition. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see Patrick Peterson go this high to form a lockdown on the passing game opposite Champ Bailey. Peterson might be the best player in this draft from what I’ve read. Darrelle Revis like.
3) Buffalo Bills select Von Miller – LB- Texas A&M
The Bills finally get a pick right and resist the urge to take Blaine Gabbert opting to go for a quarterback in round 2 instead. Von Miller is a beast and absolutely dominated in college. He is a mobile outside linebacker with Clay Matthews type attributes. In his final season at Texas A&M he racked up 10.5 sacks and 17.5 tackles for losses. He will instantly transform the Bills porous run defense and also add a potent pass rush from the outside. If Shawn Merriman can rehab from injury the Bills could have an outstanding linebacking corps next year and strike fear into Tom Brady for once. This is the right pick and not too high to take a linebacker for the Bills. There are plenty of quarterbacks available in this year’s draft and someone outside of Gabbert and
Newton will emerge as a franchise player in the later first or second round. Perhaps that franchise player could be Jake Locker who was touted as a top ten prospect last year before deciding to stay in college. I sure would be more comfortable drafting into this qb crap shoot in the later rounds rather than the first. Plus Rory Fitzpatrick (I know it’s Ryan) is a great bridge to a new quarterback in 2012 so there’s no rush for the guy to play right away and can learn the position. I am also big on Ryan Mallet despite his alleged yayo addiction and think he’d be a great fit in Buffalo where there is nothing to do or feed that urge… wait, maybe that would only make it worse. Oh well, take a shot on him if he’s there in round 2.
4) Cincinnati Bengals select AJ Green – WR –
Georgia
The Bengals call Carson Palmer’s bluff to retire if he is not traded and try to appease him by selecting AJ Green who has been compared to Calvin Johnson (Megatron). AJ Green has the talent to be a first overall choice and is thought of as a can’t miss prospect. Chad Johnson (or is it Ochocinco this year?) is only getting older and has seen his skills decline in recent years so this just adds to Cincy’s reasons for selecting Green. Even if the Bengals do cave and trade Palmer or plan for life after him I still wouldn’t take Gabbert or another quarterback in this position. Green is the right pick here and that new signal caller will need someone to throw to for years to come. Green fills that role and like I’ve been harping on all throughout this column, there are solid quarterbacks to be selected in the later rounds. This is a great year to draft a quarterback, there just isn’t that sure-fire number one like Matt Stafford or Sam Bradford of year’s past. Teams will just have to do more homework and get a nice treat selecting their franchise leader after round one. Someone will look like a genius in a year or two.
5) Arizona Cardinals Select Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU
The Cardinals desperately need a quarterback and it would be tempting to select Blaine Gabbert here but I think they’re going to trade for a proven quarterback rather than develop one. The reason being is that this division is winnable right now and Larry Fitzgerald needs an immediate reason to stay in
Arizona (he becomes a free agent at season’s end). I expect the Cardinals to take a run at Kevin Kolb or perhaps Donovan McNabb once teams can trade again. Patrick Peterson is a great pick and perhaps the best athlete in the draft. Peterson and Dominique Rodger-Cromartie will form a great shutdown tandem for years to come.
6) Cleveland Browns select Julio Jones- WR – Alabama
The Browns get exactly who they had their eyes on after AJ Green came off the board. Julio Jones could become the best WR in this draft class and has great speed and size at 6’3 220 lbs. He was a three year starter in college and helped the Crimson Tide win the national championship in 2010. The Browns need a playmaker on offense for Colt McCoy to throw to. In my opinion this is a no brainer.
7) San Francisco 49ers select Nick Fairley – DT- Auburn
Once again we have a team that appears to be in need of a quarterback but I think Jim Harbough wants to take a chance with what he has in Alex Smith, at least for one season. Because of this I think the 49ers will build upon an up and coming defense and select Nick Fairley who can play with the best of them when he’s motivated (just watch a tape of the national championship).
8) Tennessee Titans select Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri
The Titans cut bait with Vince Young and now need to develop a quarterback. Gabbert is the second best prospect in the draft and good value at the number eight position. He’ll need time to learn a pro style offense (played mostly shotgun in a spread at
Missouri) but should be able to given his strong football intelligence. He has a big arm to make all the throws required of an NFL quarterback and will have a lot of motivation after seeing Cam Newton taken first overall.
9) Dallas Cowboys select Tyron Smith – OT – USC
The Dallas Cowboys are in desperate need of an offensive tackle and Tyron smith has the most upside of any in the draft. I could see the Cowboys also selecting Anthony Castonzo from
Boston College due to his four year experience at the position compared to Smith’s two years but again, Smith has the most upside and is more athletic. If the Cowboys are feeling real gutsy they could reach for Mark Ingram here and finally obtain a number one running back, which they have not had since Emmitt Smith left. That would be a bit of a stretch at this spot though, perhaps they’ll trade down.
10) Washington Redskins select Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson
The Redskins are never shy about making a gutsy decision and Bowers sure is that. He also could be the best DE taken in this year’s draft. If it weren’t for a suspect knee (rumour is he might require micro fracture surgery) he would be a top 5 selection and perhaps number one overall (Bowers recorded 15.5 sacks last season as a junior). Half the teams in the league are staying away from him due to the uncertainty regarding his knee but Bowers says the knee is fine and Dr. James Andrews will attest to that. That’s all the Redskins need to hear and they’ll be happy to take Bowers at 10 in what could be the draft’s biggest steal.
11) Houston Texans select Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska
Houston has been in the market for a shutdown corner for years and is sick of not having anyone to go up against Reggie Wayne and Peyton Manning. Their wish finally comes true and they jump all over the Prince of… can’t think of anything to rhyme with Bel Air that would make sense.
12) Minnesota Vikings select Andy Dalton – QB – TCU
It appears Brett Favre has finally retired and I don’t think the Vikings believe Tarvaris Jackson is the answer at QB long term so they will go off the board a bit here and take Andy Dalton.
Dalton has shot up draft boards recently because teams love how polished he is after starting four years at TCU. During his time at TCU he was a highly accurate passer who didn’t screw around with the football. This is exactly what the Vikings need since the guy behind centre is mostly going to run a Canadian high school offense by handing the ball off to Adrian Peterson on any down with less than 30 yards to gain. The only knock on Dalton is his hair colour, which has caused many teams to shy away because they question if a red head can get it done (I’m not even joking about this, read Peter King’s columns).
13) Detroit Lions select Robert Quinn – DE – UNC
The Lions can’t believe Quinn dropped this far and make their selection in approximately thirty seconds. Pairing Quinn (or anybody for that matter) with Ndamakung Suh will give the Lions an incredible pass rush for years to come and might propel them to the top of the NFC North this season (you heard it here first, I love my Bears but I got a feeling about this team). Expect Quinn to make a strong push for rookie of the year since he’ll be free to run through offensive lines while Suh gets double or triple teamed. I’d say less than ten sacks would be disappointing for him.
14) St. Louis Rams select Mike Pouncey – C/G – Florida
The Rams would absolutely love to get a WR for Sam Bradford to throw to but AJ Green and Julio Jones will be long gone. There aren’t any other WR’s worth reaching for in this draft spot but
Bradford could use more protection and Mike Pouncey would be a strong addition. In case you’re wondering, he is the brother of Maurkice Pouncey who had an outstanding rookie season for
Pittsburgh. He’ll be motivated to live up to his younger brother.
15) Miami Dolphins select Mark Ingram- RB – Alabama
Ronnie Brown is getting old and has always been injury prone. Ricky Williams isn’t a spring chicken either (is he even coming back next season). Therefore this pick makes all too much sense especially given the fact Tony Sparano loves to run the ball and has to win now. Ingram won the Heisman in 2010 and was a huge part of
Alabama’s national championship and recent dominance, the only reason he isn’t going higher is because of questions about his knee, which some teams think could be a degenerative condition. He claims otherwise (what else would he say?).
16) Jacksonville Jaguars select Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal
The Jaguars need a pass rusher in a big way and
Jordan is the best of what is left on the board. I’m sure they’d be intrigued by the prospect of taking a quarterback here such as Jake Locker but that’s a bit of a reach and there will be a few available in the second round.
17) New England Patriots select Danny Watkins – G – Baylor
A lot of people will say this is a reach but the Patriots could use some help on the offensive line, which was clearly on display in their playoff loss to the Jets. There are higher rated linemen available but I have a hunch Bill Belichek will go for Watkins given his maturity and makeup. In case you’re not aware, Watkins is from
Canada and did not start playing football until the age of 22 when he transferred to a fire fighting college in
California. From there he worked his way into Baylor and started two years at left tackle. He’ll turn 27 this coming fall, which means he’s a lot more mature than most players in the draft and will have lots of motivation to play well real fast since he doesn’t have that long a window in the NFL. This is the kind of guy Belichek loves and let’s not underestimate the power of ‘old man strength’ that Watkins possesses at his ripe old age. That’s a big thing and sadly I am still waiting for that to kick in as I just turned 27.
18) San Diego Chargers select Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue
Once again, a team in need of a DE gets its wish in the first round. There are plenty of solid DE’s in this year’s draft and most are first round talents unlike the abundance of quarterbacks. Kerrigan had 12.5 sacks in his senior season and is a no nonsense player with good character, something the Chargers are big on.
San Diego could also use an offensive tackle and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Anthony Castonzo go here either.
19) New York Giants select Anthony Castonzo – OT –
Boston College
The Giants offensive line is aging and Eli Manning has taken too many hits in the last few years. Castonzo might be the most polished tackle in the draft after starting four years in college and has great size at 6’7’’, 311 lbs, which is also why he might not be around here for the Giants at 19.
20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers select JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin
The Bucs got a solid defensive tackle in Gerald Mccoy last year and will look to add to the line and form a better pass rush by taking JJ Watt. The Bucs could use an offensive tackle and I wouldn’t be surprised if they go that route with this pick but their defense was 28th against the rush last year so getting a Defensive lineman is more of a priority.
21) Kansas City Chiefs select Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin
Carimi has great size at 6’7’’, 330lbs and should lock down the right side of the Chiefs’ offensive line, which will only help build upon their emerging offense. The secondary is an area of concern but the offensive line appears to be a bigger need.
22) Indianapolis Colts select Phil Taylor – DT – Baylor
Same old story in Indy, great offense led by Peyton Manning (although starting to show some decline) and no run defense to get him back on the field. This was apparent from day one when Arian Foster ran for over 200 yards to the early playoff exit at the hands of the Jets. Taylor has a nice frame to stop the run at 6’3’’ 340 lbs and is the best option at this position left in the first round. However, he does come with baggage having been dismissed from Penn State in 2008 for multiple incidents including an assault charge. That might knock him off the draft board as the Colts generally stay away from guys with character issues but their need to stop the run might cause them to take a chance on him.
23) Philadelphia Eagles select Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado
The Eagles were average against the pass last year and could use another dependable corner opposite Asante Samuel. Word is Andy Reid is in love with this guy and I trust his instincts, just look at Mike Vick.
24) New Orleans Saints select Michael Leshoure – RB – Illinois
New Orleans has a lot of needs on defense but a lack of a running game is a serious issue for the Saints going forward. Pierre Thomas was out most of last season and appears to be injury plagued and who knows if the Saints will bring Reggie Bush back once the NFL returns to work? Beyond those two it’s slim pickings on their roster and Leshoure has bolted up many draft boards. He was very productive on an average Illinois team and possesses a tough running style with the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield.
25) Seattle Seahawks select Jake Locker – QB – Washington
If another team doesn’t trade up the board to get Locker I can’t see Pete Caroll passing on him at this spot. Locker would have been a top ten pick if he entered last year’s draft and might be the second most athletic quarterback in this year’s draft next to Cam Newton. Caroll saw firsthand what Locker can do while coaching against him in the pac 10 and suffered a shocking defeat to Locker’s huge underdog Huskies in 2009. Matt Hasselback isn’t getting any younger and Charlie Whitehurst is not the messiah for this franchise no matter how much he looks like one. This pick will also appease the Seattle fanbase as Locker is a favourite in the area and played college ball just down the street.
26) Baltimore Ravens select Brandon Harris – CB – Miam Fl
The Ravens defense is aging and was only 20th against the pass last season. Harris has the ability to be a dependable three down corner and should mesh well and learn a lot from veteran Ed Reed.
27) Atlanta Falcons select Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA
Ayers is a nice pick at 27 and a three down linebacker who is good in coverage, which is exactly what the Falcons lacked last season. A WR is also a probable selection here but Atlanta appears to get by just fine on offense and exposed badly on defense by Green Bay in their divisional round loss. Kyle Rudolph who is a TE from Notre Dame could also sneak in here to replace the aging Tony Gonzalez in a year or two.
28) Oakland Raiders select Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas
This is actually the Patriots position but I don’t see New England holding on to this pick and they have been known to trade down in past drafts. Some team will trade up to take a quarterback here and I think the Raiders will do so. Mallett has off field issues and supposedly likes to indulge in the yayo, which makes this a bit of risky and high pick at 28. This is also why it makes complete sense for Al Davis to select him here. He can also throw the ball further than any other QB in the draft so maybe he can make something out of Derius Heyward Bey who complains no one throws the ball deep enough for him to catch it.
29) Chicago Bears select Nate Solder – OT – Colorado
If you watched any Chicago Bears’ games last year you can understand why they’ll be using this pick on a lineman. Even if Solder is not around at 29 they will make a reach for someone that’s over 300 lbs and has played a college game at tackle. The Bears have hit rock bottom on the offensive line and Cutler got sacked more times than Pauly Shore on television. In fact, Cutler got so upset he decided to quit on the team at halftime of the NFC championship game and said he wouldn’t come back until they found someone to protect him. Maybe the Bears will call up his fiancée Kristin Cavallari to watch his back this season? She sure showed a lot more toughness on ‘The Hills’ than Cutler did in that NFC championship game… at least that’s what I’ve heard… I’ve never actually watched the show. Over/Under that relationship goes further than Week 12? I’m taking under.
30) New York Jets select Jonathan Baldwin – WR – Pittsburgh
The Jets have Santonio Holmes locked up for next season but may be without Braylon Edwards who is set to become a free agent when the league resumes. Baldwin is the third best WR in the draft and could become a very good number two receiver in the NFL, which is what the Jets will most likely lack come fall. Let’s be honest though, this team is winning the super bowl next year anyway and could draft a backup punter because they’re so perfect. So it really doesn’t matter who they draft. At least, that’s what Rex Ryan believes.
31) Pittsburgh Steelers select Aaron Williams – CB – Texas
The Steelers’ secondary got exposed badly in the super bowl and will draft the best corner left in the draft at this point. A guard could also be targeted with this pick.
32) Green Bay Packers select Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio State
Heyward could easily go as high as the 20th spot in this draft and the Packers will jump at him if he is still around at 32. He should do well with BJ Raji lined up next to him and is good at stopping the run, which is vital in the NFC North.